Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.264751 0.311705 0.367549 0.439725 0.531815 0.647173 0.805540
2025-01-26 0.198566 0.256414 0.334602 0.451642 0.629245 0.901350 1.378517
2025-02-02 0.162650 0.224374 0.316042 0.469984 0.740245 1.238210 2.360919
2025-02-09 0.138317 0.200457 0.299642 0.482307 0.845375 1.638164 3.955062
2025-02-16 0.121775 0.183728 0.288717 0.498124 0.964131 2.165847 6.845129
2025-02-23 0.108470 0.169071 0.276954 0.507240 1.073997 2.787525 11.915013
2025-03-02 0.097520 0.156171 0.265008 0.511402 1.175562 3.517455 21.226816
2025-03-09 0.087992 0.144084 0.251828 0.508291 1.257560 4.312459 38.373206
2025-03-16 0.079351 0.132262 0.236766 0.495997 1.306989 5.076291 68.774433
2025-03-23 0.074582 0.127034 0.234244 0.514343 1.472170 6.813684 194.732976
2025-03-30 0.068236 0.117850 0.221529 0.501823 1.520178 8.005473 474.606683
2025-04-06 0.064160 0.112666 0.216778 0.510306 1.661647 10.435375 2699.703414
2025-04-13 0.059524 0.105890 0.207528 0.503870 1.742107 12.806951 45053.171256
2025-04-20 0.056474 0.102079 0.204686 0.516773 1.932353 17.762734 NaN
2025-04-27 0.054143 0.099506 0.204404 0.538265 2.197551 26.691879 NaN
2025-05-04 0.051695 0.096381 0.202210 0.552872 2.448922 39.785090 NaN
2025-05-11 0.049638 0.093881 0.201204 0.571782 2.763272 63.941723 NaN
2025-05-18 0.047448 0.090835 0.198261 0.582707 3.047233 101.968176 NaN
2025-05-25 0.045245 0.087529 0.194100 0.587701 3.303200 163.210060 NaN
2025-06-01 0.042957 0.083801 0.188230 0.583963 3.487888 251.786578 NaN
2025-06-08 0.040535 0.079546 0.180303 0.569212 3.554853 352.010837 NaN
2025-06-15 0.039383 0.078220 0.180626 0.591232 4.061870 919.534031 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037305 0.074469 0.173325 0.576200 4.128993 1479.475284 NaN